Science

The Hurricane Michael lesson

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To the Editor:

One week prior to Hurricane Michael’s assault on Florida, the National Weather Service only identified Michael as a potential tropical threat to the eastern Gulf Coast.
In other words, they had no clue about the specific future impact on Florida. By Oct.7 they forecast Michael would reach Category 2, and just two days before landfall they finally figured out that Michael would attain Category 4.
The forecast track was good, but as for the intensity, they were reacting instead of forecasting. The National Weather Service, after many years of evolution, is still unable to forecast significant events beyond a few days out. Now, the United Nations IPCC, the climate change think tank, is claiming a climate catastrophe by 2030.
So let’s do the math. America’s weather service is not able to forecast significant events beyond 7 days. But, the IPCC claims they can do better with an astounding 4,380 day forecast. Just image what they could conjure up with a 10,000 day forecast. Anyone can see the IPCC engages in “fantasy forecasting.” They tried the same thing back in 2006, when they claimed that by 2016 (a 10-year forecast), the world climate would reach a “tipping point” of no return, and that the Arctic ice would completely melt during some summer months.  Of course, neither happened. So don’t get sucked into the climate hoax, which has been the liberal position from the beginning. Vote common sense – vote Republican.

John Shewchuk
Village of Calumet Grove

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